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Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The Reflation Trade


Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The reflation trade
Inflation undercurrents remain globally, but in India, the premium is on growth
(Image: Shuttershock)
Dear Reader,
What markets dread most is the return of inflation. It’s easy to see why if inflation rises, central banks may be forced to raise rates and that could be the end of the bull run in equities. No wonder then that the few bears that have survived the bull charge are pinning their thinning hopes on inflation. Societe Generale’s resident perma bear Albert Edwards tweeted, “The Fed should start tapering right now as the FAO reports food prices continue to surge in January.” ....

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Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Casino Capitalism


Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Casino Capitalism
The GameStop saga has cast spotlight on the casino economy, long propped up by governments and central banks
Representative image
Dear Reader,
John Maynard Keynes warned us as far back as 1936 that “When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done”. Eighty-five years later and thirty-five years after Susan Strange wrote her seminal work ‘Casino Capitalism’, few people are bothered about the real economy. Instead, the way to improve the real economy, so goes the received wisdom, is through the financial one. What is good for the casino is good for the economy. At least, that is what the high priests of finance tell us. ....

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Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | A Touch Of Vertigo


Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | A touch of vertigo
Investors lapped up the Sensex kissing 50,000, but then woke up to the ground realities that face them
Dear Reader,
Investors seem to have had a bout of dizziness after scaling Mount 50k. The Indian equity market took a step back after the Sensex reached 50000 on Thursday, nervous that it might have gone up too high too fast. We thought the fear of heights was healthy and provided investors with a perspective on the journey to the peak, while telling them why we expected markets to cool down and consolidate. Seth Klarman, billionaire investor and hedge fund manager, told the FT: “As with frogs in water that is slowly being heated to a boil, investors are being conditioned not to recognise the danger.” ....

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Aussie Wine Weekender: Countryside Cellar Doors in Canberra District


Aussie Wine Weekender: Countryside Cellar Doors in Canberra District
SYDNEY, Jan. 17, 2021 /PRNewswire/ Destination NSW:
Not far from the food and wine paradise of Sydney is Canberra District, a rustic wine region with sprawling vineyards, award-winning cellar doors, locavore restaurants and a flourishing community of growers, makers and artisans.
Hit the road and in less than three hours visitors will find themselves in charming heritage towns full of delicious bounty. This is the small but mighty Canberra District. From sipping elegant wines to tasting fresh produce to unique cultural outings, get ready for a journey that will satisfy all senses. ....

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Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Is RBI Too Pessimistic About Banks?


Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Is RBI too pessimistic about banks?
A more productive approach would be to factor in the RBI’s concerns and take steps to strengthen the balance sheet of banks
RBI | Representative Image.
Dear Reader,
Who is right, the Reserve Bank of India or banking analysts? The prospects for the country’s economic growth may well depend on the answer to that question.
Earlier this week, the central bank unveiled its latest Financial Stability Report, which makes for sombre reading. It essentially says recent improvements in bank balance sheets are on account of asset classification standstills and regulatory relief and things could go pear-shaped once these emergency measures are removed. ....

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